For Kevin

piano improv

http://soundcloud.com/graehl/for-kevin-raw 

More Films

Good: Patatje Oorlog

Decent: Blue Spring, Pom Poko

Bad: The Turin Horse, The Decoy Bride, One Day

Films

great: Departures

good: We Need to Talk about Kevin

fair: Broken Flowers, The Kid with a Bike, The Good, the Bad, the Weird, City Island, He Loves Me… He Loves Me Not, Noriko’s Dinner Table

poor: 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days

Films

good: Cold Fish, Doubt, Memories of Matsuko

fair: Ghost Dog, The Descendants

poor: Army of Shadows, Cave of Forgotten Dreams

Films

good: The Chaser, The Yellow Sea

bad: Sucker Punch, Khodokovsky, Real Steel, The Whistleblower

Playful

Gif_little_girl_vs_lion_at_the

(animated)

More Films

great: A Moment to Remember, Certified Copy

good: Joint Security Area, Oasis (2002)

ok: The Brotherhood of War (2004),Thirst

poor: The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas

Hopeful Violence-is-cultural Story

Luke M. relates (see linked discussion):

Baboons… literally have been the textbook example of a highly aggressive, male-dominated, hierarchical society. Because these animals hunt, because they live in these aggressive troupes on the Savannah (just like we humans used to, and thus we evolved similarly), they have a constant baseline level of aggression which inevitably spills over into their social lives.

Scientists have never observed a baboon troupe that wasn’t highly aggressive, and they have compelling reasons to think this is simply baboon nature, written into their genes. Inescapable.

Or at least, that was true until the 1980s, when Kenya experienced a tourism boom.

Sapolsky was a grad student, studying his first baboon troupe. A new tourist lodge was built at the edge of the forest where his baboons lived. The owners of the lodge dug a hole behind the lodge and dumped their trash there every morning, after which the males of several baboon troupes — including Sapolsky’s — would fight over this pungent bounty.

Before too long, someone noticed the baboons didn’t look too good. It turned out they had eaten some infected meat and developed tuberculosis, which kills baboons in weeks. Their hands rotted away, so they hobbled around on their elbows. Half the males in Sapolsky’s troupe died.

This had a surprising effect. There was now almost no violence in the troupe. Males often reciprocated when females groomed them, and males even groomed other males. To a baboonologist, this was like watching Mike Tyson suddenly stop swinging in a heavyweight fight to start nuzzling Evander Holyfield. It never happened.

This was interesting, but Sapolsky moved to the other side of the park and began studying other baboons. His first troupe “scientifically ruined” by such a non-natural event. But really, he was just heartbroken. He never visited.

Six years later, Sapolsky wanted to show his girlfriend where he had studied his first troupe, and found that they were still there, and still surprisingly violence-free. This one troupe had apparently been so transformed by their unusual experience — and the continued availability of easy food — that they were now basically non-violent.

And then it hit him.

Only one of the males now in the troupe had been through the event. All the rest were new, and hadn’t been raised in the tribe. The new males had come from the violent, dog-eat-dog world of normal baboon-land. But instead of coming into the new troupe and roughing everybody up as they always did, the new males had learned, “We don’t do stuff like that here.” They had unlearned their childhood culture and adapted to the new norms of the first baboon pacifists.

As it turned out, violence wasn’t an unchanging part of baboon nature. In fact it changed rather quickly, when the right causal factor flipped, and — for this troupe and the new males coming in — it has stayed changed to this day.

Somehow, the violence had been largely circumstantial. It was just that the circumstances had always been the same.

Until they weren’t.

I guess the replacement baboons coming from other genes/tribes means that there’s a more peaceful equilibrium for baboon culture than the one previously thought to be genetic destiny.

We already know that comfortable human societies have less overt violence (everything anyone does is ensured by the far-removed threat of law-enforcement guns, but we’re barely conscious of it - it’s not constantly traumatic). 

You Are Here

Sun-from-voyager

Voyager - one of the first digital cameras. Pretty good range on its wireless network, too :)

The dot is our sun.

Honey Bees vs Hornets

Private Firms Invest Longer-term Than Public

Robin Hanson notices some strong evidence that publicly traded companies under-invest:

The number of new businesses we get seems limited by the number of folks personally wealthy enough to start new businesses. So having more really rich folks benefits everyone via innovation.

Now I learn that very rich folks are crucial not only for business starts, but also for most investment that takes more than a year or so to payoff! Consider:

As is common in factories, [public firm] Standard [Motor Products] invests only in machinery that will earn back its cost within two years. (The Atlantic, Jan, p.66)

Why look at years-to-payback instead of return on investment? A new NBER paper on private vs. public firms makes the answer clear. Unless project gains can be very clearly proven to analysts, or perhaps so small and numerous to allow averaging over them, public firms are basically incapable of taking a loss on earnings this quarter in order to make gains several years later, no matter how big those gains. CEOs are strongly tempted to instead please analysts by grabbing higher short-term quarterly earnings. So we need the very rich to make long-term investments.

(I recommend the whole post)

My reply:

I buy that private firms aren’t so busy optimizing “profits” (may avoid them for tax reasons?), and that many public firms sacrifice long term health for the current quarter (e.g. Sears’ low investment in improving its stores). but you can’t make every investment that computes as NPV-positive or you’ll end up with a bunch of losers (as in multiple hypothesis testing, your threshold has to trade off false positives and negatives). Perhaps some private firms over-invest out of hubris.

We could ask: assuming a list of investments sorted by projected future returns, (thus NPV given a discount rate), what discount rates and thresholds (below which you reject the investment even if you can obtain the capital for it) do firms seem to be using? It’s quite plausible that public firms are both shorter-horizon and more conservative (bosses don’t want to get fired, or want to boost the value of their stock).

Brain Rules for Baby

I liked John Medina’s Brain Rules, and my sister just had a baby, so I skimmed Brain Rules for Baby.

Unlike his other work, a lot of these recommendations aren’t sourced by research (some are, but the detailed experimental description isn’t always there):

(pre-birth) Mom should take folic acid around conception, and throughout (including breast-feeding) get omega-3 (best source: fish - just avoid mercury from high-in-foodchain tuna, mackerel, swordfish, etc.), gain the right amount of weight (300 extra cal/day), get the right amount of exercise (30 min walking, don’t overheat!), and be protected from extreme stress (or unpreventable chronic stress - figure out some way to feel in control of what’s bothering you). An 8 pound birth weight vs. a 6 or 9 pound weight is on average 1 IQ point (negligible). 

How smart a baby is predicts IQ at age 18.

No fighting, mom and dad. Seriously. If a baby has high stress markers in its blood, the parents are probably fighting and will probably split (causality is probably reverse - fighting harms baby). In order to avoid fighting, try dealing with someone’s complaints with 1. describe the emotion you think you’re seeing 2. guess what’s causing it (out loud). People like to feel understood. If you guess wrong, they still feel you care. Sleep loss is no joke - try to share the load and get both parents enough rest. Have sex.

Reconcile in front of kids if you fought in front of them.

Tapes of foreign language do nothing for a baby. Social interaction is needed to cause language acquisition.

American Sign Language lessons for first graders improved their IQ test scores. You could try some form of sign language with your kid.

Breast feed (+8 IQ). At least a year. Formula pushers are evil. 

Talk to your toddler, using a variety of words, in actual interactions. Reward with extra attention. Face to face. They imitate you; you, them.

Demonstrate. Speculate at motives for others’ behaviors - teaches kids to model others.

Slowed, melodic speech, and higher pitch, actually helps babies imitate/learn.

Dramatic pretend play with a partner is good.

Play with your kid. Opposite day (call things by their opposite). Imitation games. Don’t push if they’re tired/overstimulated.

Praise trying (“you worked hard on that!”), not being “smart”. If you praise for being “X”, they spend time worrying about how to preserve their image as “X”. 

No TV or “baby Einstein” for the first 2 years. The right kind and amount of movies/video games for the rest of life may be fine or even useful.

Get your kids exercising. Don’t feed them stuff that they become self-guided pleasure-overeaters of.

Help kids learn to dwell on what makes them grateful. Teach forgiveness of loved ones, and rewarding sharing of experiences (storytelling).

Make sure your kid has good friends. Or just has friends at all.

Demanding parents (that is, not controlling everything in the kid’s life, but explaining what’s actually required) who pay attention and respond to their kid’s emotions are the best. Parents should seem to notice and care about what the kid does.

Don’t punish/repress emotions per se - including in yourself. Behavior can be chosen, not emotions. Teach about what the emotion is. Teach about what behavior may help. Don’t try to band-aid (sad? ice cream! new toy!) a feeling, or give useless “toughen up” advice.

If your kid feels crowded, don’t crowd.

Describe your kid’s emotions, guess out loud at what’s causing them. Listen. Labeling helps communication and self-understanding. Describe your own emotions out loud (optionally - silent is fine too).

10 years of music lessons starting before age 7 - might help them pick up tone tells in verbal communications. Might have other benefits.

Use a crisis to teach: empathy first to calm. Express wanting to help.

Explain rules (give reason - bad consequence to be avoided); punish swiftly, but without making the child fear for safety. Praise for following rules. Praise for absence of rule-violation.

Don’t spank - let them suffer the natural consequences then offer succor, or remove a privilege/toy. Don’t punish with “I don’t like you” disapproval.

Watch videotape of yourself doing your usual parenting thing.

Good Films

good: HeadhuntersMelancholia (extremely slow and dark, like all his films), Adventures of Tintin, A Separation, A Prophet, The Guard (underrated), The Others, Pursuit of Happyness, 50/50, The Ides of March, Tropa de Elite 2 (Elite Squad), Our Idiot Brother (underrated)

decent: Rise of the Planet of the Apes, Contagion, Moneyball, The Blind Side, Drive, The Tree of LifeWarrior, Incendies, The Debt

boring: (only watched 10 minutes) The Help

mediocre: ThorWater for Elephants

Marijuana Brain Damage Less Than Thought - and Reversible

(updated with the actual study abstract, which is more informative than the Wired article)

The immediate (within a few days) detrimental effects of marijuana on working memory are pretty strong. I find working memory pretty important for the thinking and especially the computer programming I do.

But it’s not all bad - mood improves, and so does performance on some (useless-seeming to me) remote association of words and whatever “divergent thinking” is. Also, there’s weak evidence that the harmful effects will disappear completely after a few weeks of abstinence.

Heavy drinking is definitely worse for you than marijuana (aside from some increased risk of mouth/throat/lung cancer if you’re smoking it).

This is not a randomized intervention study; it’s just cognitive measurements vs. a few hundred survey responses on marijuana use. The fact that you’re thus seeing correlations and not necessarily causes is unfortunate. But it is over 8 years, which is nice:

From the abstract of the actual study in Addiction:

California Verbal Learning Test (CVLT) (immediate and delayed), Spot-the-Word test (STW), Symbol Digit Modality test (SDMT) and Digit Backwards (DB). Groups of cannabis users were defined from self-reports across three waves as: ‘never’ (n= 420) ‘remain light’ (n= 71), ‘former light’ (n= 231), ‘remain heavy’ (n= 60), ‘former heavy’ (n= 60) and ‘always former’ (since start of study) (n= 657).
So they measured 2000 people 3 times over 8 years, while asking them how much marijuana they were use. They started with 2400. Too bad we’ll never know if the dropouts were especially heavy pot users :) They performed an analysis that’s intended to show whether voluntary non-blind (obviously) changes in marijuana usage helped or hurt cognitive performance in the same individual - which would be more telling than observing some leftover unexplained correlation between pot and stupidity (after controlling for age/education/socioeconomic/etc.) at a single point in time.

 baseline there were significant differences between cannabis groups on CVLT (immediate and delayed) and SDMT. However, after controlling for education, gender, gender × group and gender × wave, there were no significant between-group differences and only CVLT immediate recall reached adjusted statistically significant longitudinal change associated with changed cannabis use (group × wave P= 0.007). Specifically, former heavy users improved their performance relative to remaining heavy users (estimated marginal means: former heavy 6.1–7.5: remain heavy 6.4–6.6
Definitely switching from “heavy use” to “former heavy use” (maybe not even completely abstaining) gives about an 8% improvement in the ability to remember things recently read (short term verbal memory) (that there is no improvement at all is less than 0.7% probable).

It’s also possible that by “controlling for education” (missing: socioeconomic class, but this is Australia) they’re hiding an effect of marijuana that makes you simultaneously stupid and less likely to finish school. This would be my major complaint with the study (unless they consider only level of education at the study start, and show expected changes per individual over time in response to changed marijuana usage).

That [marijuana makes you stupid], at least, has been the collective stereotype for decades. There’s even been some science to back it up, especially when the marijuana use begins at an early age. But now a different answer is beginning to emerge, thanks to an authoritative new study led by Robert Tait at the Australian National University. The scientists looked at the long-term cognitive effects of marijuana use in nearly 2,000 subjects between the ages of 20 and 24. The subjects were divided (based on self-reports) into several different categories, from total abstainers (n = 420) to “current light users” (n = 71) to “former heavy users” (n = 60). Over the course of eight years, the scientists gave the subjects a battery of standard cognitive tests, most of which focused on working memory, verbal memory and intelligence. One of the important advantages of this study is that the scientists controlled for a number of relevant variables, such as education and gender. In TimeMaia Szalavitz explains why this statistical adjustment is necessary:

The lower education levels of the pot smokers — and their greater likelihood of being male — had made it look like marijuana had significantly affected their intelligence. In fact, men simply tend to do worse than women on tests of verbal intelligence, while women generally underperform on math tests. The relative weighting of the tests made the impact of pot look worse than it was.

Once these population differences were corrected for, the long-term effects of marijuana use disappeared: The scientists found that “there were no significant between group differences.” In other words, the amount of pot consumed had no measurable impact on cognitive performance. The sole exception was performance on a test of short-term verbal memory, in which “current heavy users” performed slightly worse than former users. The researchers conclude that, contrary to earlier findings, the mind altering properties of marijuana are ephemeral and fleeting:

The adverse impacts of cannabis use on cognitive functions either appear to be related to pre-existing factors or are reversible in this community cohort even after potentially extended periods of use. These findings may be useful in motivating individuals to lower cannabis use, even after an extensive history of heavy intake.

This study builds on previous work by Harvard researchers demonstrating that the learning and memory impairments of heavy marijuana users typically vanish within 28 days of “smoking cessation.” (The slight impairments still existed, however, one week after smoking.) While several days might sound like a long hippocampal hangover, heavy alcohol users typically experience deficits that persist for several months, if not years. In other words, heavy marijuana use appears to be a lot less damaging than alcoholism.

Taken together, these studies demonstrate that popular stereotypes of marijuana users are unfair and untrue. While it’s definitely not a good idea to perform a cognitively demanding task (such as driving!) while stoned, smoking a joint probably also won’t lead to any measurable long-term deficits. The Dude, in other words, wasn’t dumb because he inhaled. He was dumb because he was The Dude. (All those White Russians probably didn’t help, either.)

Furthermore, there’s some intriguing evidence that marijuana can actually improve performance on some mental tests. A recent paper by scientists at University College, London looked at a phenomenon called semantic priming. This occurs when the activation of one word allows us to react more quickly to related words. For instance, the word “dog” might lead to decreased reaction times for “cat,” “pet” and “Lassie,” but won’t alter how quickly we react to “chair.”

Interestingly, the scientists found that marijuana seems to induce a state of hyper-priming, in which the reach of semantic priming extends to distantly related concepts. As a result, we hear “dog” and think of nouns that, in more sober circumstances, would seem rather disconnected, such as “leash” or “hair.” This state of hyper-priming helps explain why cannabis has been so often used as a creative fuel, as it seems to make the brain better at detecting those remote associations that lead to radically new ideas.

Why does marijuana increase access to far reaching intellectual connections? One possibility is that the beneficial effect of the drug is mediated by mood. Marijuana, after all, has long been used to quiet anxious nerves — big pharma is currently exploring targeted versions of THC as a next generation anxiolytic — as only a few puffs seem to dramatically increase feelings of relaxation and euphoria. (The technical term for this, of course, is getting stoned.) Furthermore, recent research has suggested that performance on various tests of remote associations and divergent thinking — a hallmark of creativity — are dramatically enhanced by such positive moods.

via 

Mildly Titillating Science

… (N = 1041), a large gender difference emerged in the sexual attractiveness of happy displays: happiness was the most attractive female emotion expression, and one of the least attractive in males. In contrast, pride showed the reverse pattern; it was the most attractive male expression, and one of the least attractive in women. Shame displays were relatively attractive in both genders, and, among younger adult women viewers, male shame was more attractive than male happiness, and not substantially less than male pride. (more)

via

(no followup study on the sexual attractiveness of nerds clumsily affecting jersey-shore swagger after reading this.)

Mahler in Film

 Has anyone ripped Mahler off blatantly for their film score?

Why not? His stuff is great in sections.

(obviously the deep brass sound has become pretty mainstream in films now that sampled instruments are widely available).

Cloud Atlas

Cloud Atlas is a moving and clever book. The blurbs on the back say “postmodern” but the only thing too-clever about it is the narrative structure, which I fully enjoyed. There’s some Huck-Finn-annoying dialect, but it didn’t bother me as much as usual.

I was surprised to read there’s a film adaptation coming out next year. There’s no way all of the plot will fit in a single film, but I look forward to watching it.

Beautiful Film

A Better Life - I expected to be annoyed by another preachy plight-of-illegal-immigrant-families film. Instead, I got to enjoy fantastic acting from the father, and a good story. I’d have cut the closing shot.

The shot of setting his keys down was a little too obvious, and being stopped by the police was also a little too convenient, but otherwise it felt completely true.

Also, Boss is a good TV drama.

High Fat Diets With Butter Don’t Fatten

I like butter. So I liked hearing that butyric acid stopped rats on a high-fat diet from becoming obese. Eating butter is the easiest way to get butyric acid.

via

More Decent Films

Poetry - sweet+sad. Beautiful images.

Buck - very good.

I’m a Cyborg but that’s OK - artsy/quirky/slow/fun/touching.

Terri - simple. good acting, sweet story. underrated.

The Hangover Part II - predictably bad. But Galafianakis is sullenly funny. I have a soft spot for good-hearted, delusional social transgressors.